矿井串联系统模糊可靠性理论的研究

矿井系统不仅具有随机性，而且同时也具有模糊性，在系统分析与设计过程中应同时考虑这两种不确定性因素的影响。文中提出了模糊故障、模糊功能、系统模糊运营状态和广义可靠度等概念，并在此基础上提出了求单元及串联系统的生产能力、营运费用、应急维修费用、修理时间和广义可靠度等指标的方法，建立了使系统平均生产能力最大的系统最优运营策略的数学模型。     

IP骨干网络中QoS技术的分析

简要介绍了IP骨干网络中对QoS技术的定义和其影响因素,并对目前几种比较流行的QoS模型进行了对比.最后重点介绍了DiffServ模型的工作机制,组成部件和相应的实现算法.通过对一些算法的描述,有助于为对从事网质量传输研究或者传输模型实现的相关人员提供一些感性的认识.     

Optimizing investment levels for energy conservation: Individual versus social perspective and the role of uncertainty

The decision to invest in energy conservation must be made in the face of uncertainty: future energy prices and the magnitude of energy savings are uncertain. Since once does not know the optimal investment level in advance, one will incur cost penalties due to misoptimization. To analyse the cost penalties it is convenient to focus on the ratio of the life cycle costs that one pays and the life cycle costs one would have paid with an optimal investment level. Two models are used to evaluate this ratio: a model for conductive heat flow through a layer of insulation, and an exponential curve fit to a large number of residential energy conservation cost data. Plotting the life cycle cost ratio versus the ration of actual and guessed energy expenditures shows the effect both of price uncertainties and of uncertainties in the performance of conservation measures. The graph can also be used to evaluate the cost to society due to the mismatch between individual and social perspectives. The curve turns out to have a broad optimum, and penalties due to misoptimization are fairly small in most cases. With these models one can also calculate the long-term price elasticity of energy demand for rational consumers. It turns out to be -0.5 in the insulation model and -1.0 in the exponential model.     

水利利用外资工作的几点思考

当前国内外经济形势的变化为我国水利利用外资工作创造了条件。同时在水利利用外资工作中还面临着国际金融组织赠款减少、外资项目配套资金和还贷能力不足、项目管理体制不顺等问题。结合新时期水利发展思路和外国政府、国际金融组织对华援助战略，提出了今后一个时期水利利用外资工作的重点领域。     

我国奶牛场收入政策及发展

叙述了我国目前乳业概况，就经济体制转变以来，我国的奶生产情况，牧场收入，政府所起的作用及乳业今后面临的挑战等问题进行了分析和论述。     

红钢炼钢转炉除尘水系统水处理的应用

从分析炼钢转炉除尘水系统的工艺特征及水质特点，结合红钢在转炉除尘水系统水处理的成功应用案例，论述了目前转炉除尘水化学水处理的原理、方法、过程控制（水质控制）标准、整个烟道各个运行参数控制合理值，循环回用带来效益及投资回报，具有重要应用意义和推广价值。     

浅谈监理工程师如何抓好施工阶段的投资控制

在多年工程实践的基础上研究、分析了施工阶段投资控制的方法问题。     

后工业时代米兰单功能城区更新

在物化的形式上,解释米兰城市发展历史上的单功能城区的改造意义,并由此分析单功能城区更新的经验:单功能城区向混合居住模式的更新是发展方向;城区的功能重新定义对城区发展有重要意义;以新的建设为基础,发展城区自身的特色,做到城市在更新和特色之间的协调。     

Forecasting Canadian nuclear power station construction costs

Because of the huge volume of capital required to construct a modern electric power generating station, investment decisions have to be made with as complete an understanding of the consequences of the decision as possible. This understanding must be provided by the evaluation of future situations. A key consideration in an evaluation is the financial component. This paper attempts to use an econometric method to forecast the construction costs escalation of a standard Canadian nuclear generating station (NGS). A brief review of the history of Canadian nuclear electric power is provided. The major components of the construction costs of a Canadian NGS are studied and summarized. A database is built and indexes are prepared. Based on these indexes, an econometric forecasting model is constructed using an apparently new econometric methodology of forecasting modelling. Forecasts for a period of 40 years are generated and applications (such as alternative scenario forecasts and range forecasts) to uncertainty assessment and/or decision-making are demonstrated. The indexes, the model, and the forecasts and their applications, to the best of the author's knowledge, are the first for Canadian NGS constructions.     

The Tenet experience and the design of protocols for integrated-services internetworks

The research done by the Tenet Group in multimedia networking has reached a point where it may be useful to reflect on the significance of its results for the current debate on how integrated-services internetworks should be designed. Such reflections constitute the main subject of this paper. The principles of the work and the conclusions reached so far by the Tenet researchers are discussed in the light of the conflict between the two major technologies being proposed to build future information infrastructures: namely, the Internet and the ATM technologies. The Tenet approach suggests one feasible way for resolving the conflict to the advantage of all the users of those infrastructures. This paper discusses various fundamental aspects of integrated-services network design: the choice of the service model, the type of charging policy to be adopted, and the selection of a suitable architecture.